16 comments
27 forecasters
[Short Fuse] Will Credit Suisse experience any of the following scenarios before May 2023?
resultYes
20 comments
29 forecasters
[Short Fuse] Who will be the winner of the leadership race for the next First Minister of the Scottish Parliament?
Humza Yusafresult: Yes
Kate Forbesresult: No
Ash Reganresult: No
18 comments
42 forecasters
[Short fuse] Will Michael Bloomberg drop out before the March 13th?
resultYes
5 comments
22 forecasters
[short-fuse] Will the power go out for >20% of NYC metro population for at least 24 hours before 2 July?
resultNo
10 comments
20 forecasters
[Short-Fuse] Will AbstractSpyTreeBot win the Darwin Game on Lesswrong?
resultNo
40 comments
97 forecasters
[Short Fuse] Will the Three Gorges Dam experience a partial failure before the end of September?
resultNo