88 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 85.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?"?
resultNo
89 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 45.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?"?
resultYes
84 comments
81 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?"?
resultYes
5 comments
111 forecasters
How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025?
6 comments
16 forecasters
What percentage of their January 2024 search interest will these longevity interventions retain in January 2030?
Epigenetic reprogramming130
Senolytics93
Ozempic82.9
0 comments
84 forecasters
Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.