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0 comments
93 forecasters

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Latest estimate
2.87 animals

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

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Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

80%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
21 comments
306 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance
44 comments
434 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%chance
0 comments
85 forecasters

Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

9 comments
71 forecasters

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

community
6.49 animals
result
3 animals
10 comments
22 forecasters

Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?

Current estimate
97.4B billion animals