Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.
0 comments
85 forecasters
Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
9 comments
5 forecasters
Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?
65%chance
169 comments
243 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama30%
AI-Dystopia23.7%
Singularia18.9%
20 comments
287 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
24%chance
4 comments
15 forecasters
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?
Current estimate
19.2%
7 comments
17 forecasters
Will octopus farms yield 3000 tonnes of octopuses in one year before 2026?
8%chance