9 comments
71 forecasters
How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?
9 comments
215 forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Current estimate
53.3M birds
0 comments
85 forecasters
Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
21 comments
299 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
26%chance
4 comments
15 forecasters
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?
Current estimate
17.3%
44 comments
432 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27%chance
Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.
23 comments
413 forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
35%chance
9 comments
6 forecasters
Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?
65%chance