How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?10 comments4141 forecasters
Will the Save Our Bacon Act be enacted into law before July 2027?10% chance333 comments5252 forecasters10%chance
Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?30% chance81717 comments105105 forecasters30%chance
What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?11k 1000 MT CWE (10.7k - 11.1k)111 comment4141 forecasters11k 1000 MT CWE (10.7k - 11.1k)
How many of the top 2026 AI labs will reference animal welfare in their models' guidelines at the end of 2034?20 comments4141 forecasters
Will a new cultivated meat product receive regulatory approval for commercial sale before July 2027?78.9% chance11111 comments5555 forecasters78.9%chance
What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?7.76 kg per capita (7.64 - 7.88)111 comment3939 forecasters7.76 kg per capita (7.64 - 7.88)
How many of Europe's top 20 grocery retailers will have public shrimp welfare commitments before July 2027?8 retailers (5 - 11)10 comments3939 forecasters8 retailers (5 - 11)
Will FURA introduce another cultivated meat dish on its menu before July 2027?44% chance0 comments4040 forecasters44%chance
Will plant-based meat and seafood reach 10% of US retail packaged meat dollar sales before 2031?7% chance10 comments4848 forecasters7%chance
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2030?89.2M $ (40.5M - 184M)211 comment1616 forecasters89.2M $ (40.5M - 184M)
How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2027, in 2019 USD?2420 million USD (1038 - 4397)611 comment2929 forecasters2420 million USD (1038 - 4397)
Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?54% chance91313 comments8282 forecastersAmbiguous
How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?30.8 million (26.4 - 35.1)677 comments3636 forecasters30.8 million (26.4 - 35.1)
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2025?83.2M $ (54.3M - 133M)333 comments1818 forecastersResolved93.391526M $
Will the 'Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression' Act pass in the US House of Representatives by January 3, 2024?result: no33 comments1919 forecastersResolvedNo
When will at least 750 companies pledge to maintain a supply chain consistent with the current basic Global Animal Partnership standards for broiler chickens by end of 2030?07 Jul 2029 (07 Jul 2026 - >31 Dec 2030)655 comments3030 forecasters07 Jul 2029 (07 Jul 2026 - >31 Dec 2030)
What will be the average production cost per kg of cell-cultured chicken cell biomass at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?11 comment11 forecaster
Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?71% chance577 comments3939 forecasters71%chance
Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?12% chance172828 comments121121 forecasters12%chance