• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Discover
  • Services
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Discover
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?

10.9k 1000 MT CWE (10.7k - 11.1k)

1
33 comments
54
54 forecasters
10.9k 1000 MT CWE
(10.7k - 11.1k)

How many metric tons of โ‰ฅ20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

11
44 comments
31
31 forecasters

How many metric tons of โ‰ฅ51% cultured meat costing <$10/kg will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

6
22 comments
27
27 forecasters

How many metric tons of โ‰ฅ51% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

6
33 comments
24
24 forecasters

Will at least one additional U.S. state enact a cage-free egg requirement before July 2027?

10% chance

1
33 comments
30
30 forecasters
10%chance

What percentage of companies globally will fulfill their pre-2026 cage-free commitments in 2026 and 2027?

12.1% (8.05 - 16.7)

1
0 comments
25
25 forecasters
12.1%
(8.05 - 16.7)

What percentage of companies globally will fulfill their pre-2026 broiler commitments in 2026 and 2027?

4.19% (2.22 - 7.39)

0 comments
25
25 forecasters
4.19%
(2.22 - 7.39)

Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?

17% chance

7
33 comments
63
63 forecasters
17%chance

Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?

84.7B billion animals (55.5B - 110B)

4
1010 comments
22
22 forecasters
84.7B billion animals
(55.5B - 110B)

How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?

1
44 comments
58
58 forecasters

How many of the top 2026 AI labs will reference animal welfare in their models' guidelines at the end of 2034?

2
0 comments
57
57 forecasters

Will FURA introduce another cultivated meat dish on its menu before July 2027?

40% chance

11 comment
52
52 forecasters
40%chance

Will a new cultivated meat product receive regulatory approval for commercial sale before July 2027?

result: yes

1
1313 comments
61
61 forecasters
ResolvedYes

What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?

7.83 kg per capita (7.69 - 7.98)

1
22 comments
51
51 forecasters
7.83 kg per capita
(7.69 - 7.98)

What percentage of the EU hen flock will be sexed with in-ovo sexing technology in Q1 2027?

43.8% (40.1 - 47.2)

22 comments
55
55 forecasters
43.8%
(40.1 - 47.2)

Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?

9% chance

17
3131 comments
122
122 forecasters
9%chance

How many of Europe's top 20 grocery retailers will have public shrimp welfare commitments before July 2027?

11 retailers (9 - 12)

1
0 comments
53
53 forecasters
11 retailers
(9 - 12)

Will plant-based meat and seafood reach 10% of US retail packaged meat dollar sales before 2031?

2% chance

1
0 comments
62
62 forecasters
2%chance

Will the Save Our Bacon Act be enacted into law before July 2027?

3% chance

3
33 comments
77
77 forecasters
3%chance

A decrease in US meat production by 2025?

result: no

23
1010 comments
171
171 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes

9
88 comments

How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?

12
1010 comments
81
81 forecasters