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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will plant-based meat and seafood reach 10% of US retail packaged meat dollar sales before 2031?

3% chance

1
0 comments
53
53 forecasters
3%chance

Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes

9
88 comments

How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?

1
11 comment
47
47 forecasters

Will the Save Our Bacon Act be enacted into law before July 2027?

3% chance

3
33 comments
61
61 forecasters
3%chance

Will a new cultivated meat product receive regulatory approval for commercial sale before July 2027?

result: yes

1
1313 comments
61
61 forecasters
ResolvedYes

How many of the top 2026 AI labs will reference animal welfare in their models' guidelines at the end of 2034?

2
0 comments
47
47 forecasters

When will a major U.S. supermarket sell โ€œno-kill eggsโ€ in at least 25 states?

30 Apr 2030 (25 Jun 2028 - Sep 2032)

9
55 comments
35
35 forecasters
30 Apr 2030
(25 Jun 2028 - Sep 2032)

How many of Europe's top 20 grocery retailers will have public shrimp welfare commitments before July 2027?

9 retailers (7 - 11)

1
0 comments
45
45 forecasters
9 retailers
(7 - 11)

Will FURA introduce another cultivated meat dish on its menu before July 2027?

40% chance

11 comment
43
43 forecasters
40%chance

What percentage of the EU hen flock will be sexed with in-ovo sexing technology in Q1 2027?

41.3% (38 - 44.8)

22 comments
46
46 forecasters
41.3%
(38 - 44.8)

What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?

7.82 kg per capita (7.7 - 7.98)

1
11 comment
43
43 forecasters
7.82 kg per capita
(7.7 - 7.98)

What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?

11k 1000 MT CWE (10.8k - 11.2k)

1
11 comment
46
46 forecasters
11k 1000 MT CWE
(10.8k - 11.2k)

A decrease in US meat production by 2025?

result: no

23
1010 comments
171
171 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom in 2050?

10% chance

16
44 comments
70
70 forecasters
10%chance

What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?

0.0134% (0.00541 - 0.0326)

4
99 comments
64
64 forecasters
0.0134%
(0.00541 - 0.0326)

How many metric tons of โ‰ฅ51% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

6
33 comments
23
23 forecasters

How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2025?

83.2M $ (54.3M - 133M)

3
33 comments
18
18 forecasters
Resolved93.391526M $

What will be the average production cost per kg of cell-cultured chicken cell biomass at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?

11 comment
1
1 forecaster

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing โ‰ฅ80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

30 May 2027 (20 Jan 2026 - 08 Apr 2029)

6
33 comments
46
46 forecasters
30 May 2027
(20 Jan 2026 - 08 Apr 2029)

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?

30.8 million (26.4 - 35.1)

6
77 comments
36
36 forecasters
30.8 million
(26.4 - 35.1)

How many metric tons of โ‰ฅ51% cultured meat costing <$10/kg will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

6
22 comments
26
26 forecasters

How many metric tons of โ‰ฅ20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

11
44 comments
31
31 forecasters