What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?11k 1000 MT CWE (10.7k - 11.1k)111 comment4141 forecasters11k 1000 MT CWE (10.7k - 11.1k)
How many of the top 2026 AI labs will reference animal welfare in their models' guidelines at the end of 2034?20 comments4141 forecasters
What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?7.76 kg per capita (7.64 - 7.88)111 comment3939 forecasters7.76 kg per capita (7.64 - 7.88)
How many of Europe's top 20 grocery retailers will have public shrimp welfare commitments before July 2027?8 retailers (5 - 11)10 comments3939 forecasters8 retailers (5 - 11)
When will at least 750 companies pledge to maintain a supply chain consistent with the current basic Global Animal Partnership standards for broiler chickens by end of 2030?07 Jul 2029 (07 Jul 2026 - >31 Dec 2030)655 comments3030 forecasters07 Jul 2029 (07 Jul 2026 - >31 Dec 2030)
Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?12% chance172828 comments121121 forecasters12%chance
Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?4.5% chance244 comments1313 forecasters4.5%chance
Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?result: no8787 comments8585 forecastersResolvedNo
Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?41.5% chance0 comments11 forecaster41.5%chance
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"0 comments
Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?35% chance0 comments22 forecasters35%chance
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"0.726 0-100% stated probability (0.684 - 0.767)0 comments22 forecasters0.726 0-100% stated probability (0.684 - 0.767)
Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?result: no944 comments8181 forecastersResolvedNo
If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?0 comments
Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?677 comments1616 forecasters
How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?121010 comments8181 forecasters
How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?0 comments11 forecaster
Predict experts' beliefs over “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030, as a +/- percent?0 comments
[PRACTICE] How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?Annulled3131 comments3030 forecastersAnnulled