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US Democracy Index

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If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 3 days

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 3 days

0 comments

85 forecasters

Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments

22 forecasters

Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?

Current estimate

97.4B billion animals

7 comments

16 forecasters

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Study 258.3%

Study 153%

5 comments

177 forecasters

How many pounds of chicken per capita will the US consume in 2025?

Current estimate

104 lbs

28 comments

118 forecasters

Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?

12%chance

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

6 forecasters

Will An American State Ban Factory Farming by 2030?

12%chance

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

1 forecaster

How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?

0-284.7%

3-410%

5-65%

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

1 forecaster

Will a second US city ban factory farming within its boundaries by the end of 2025?

5%chance