What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?10.9k 1000 MT CWE (10.7k - 11.1k)133 comments5454 forecasters10.9k 1000 MT CWE (10.7k - 11.1k)
How many metric tons of ≥20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?1144 comments3131 forecasters
How many metric tons of ≥51% cultured meat costing <$10/kg will be sold from 2020 to 2050?622 comments2727 forecasters
What percentage of companies globally will fulfill their pre-2026 cage-free commitments in 2026 and 2027?12.1% (8.05 - 16.7)10 comments2525 forecasters12.1% (8.05 - 16.7)
Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?84.7B billion animals (55.5B - 110B)41010 comments2222 forecasters84.7B billion animals (55.5B - 110B)
How many of the top 2026 AI labs will reference animal welfare in their models' guidelines at the end of 2034?20 comments5757 forecasters
What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?7.83 kg per capita (7.69 - 7.98)122 comments5151 forecasters7.83 kg per capita (7.69 - 7.98)
Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?9% chance173131 comments122122 forecasters9%chance
How many of Europe's top 20 grocery retailers will have public shrimp welfare commitments before July 2027?11 retailers (9 - 12)10 comments5353 forecasters11 retailers (9 - 12)
How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?121010 comments8181 forecasters
Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?41.5% chance0 comments11 forecaster41.5%chance
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"0 comments
Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?35% chance0 comments33 forecasters35%chance
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"0.726 0-100% stated probability (0.684 - 0.767)0 comments22 forecasters0.726 0-100% stated probability (0.684 - 0.767)
If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?0 comments
Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?result: no944 comments8181 forecastersResolvedNo
How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?0 comments11 forecaster
[PRACTICE] How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?Annulled3131 comments3030 forecastersAnnulled
[PRACTICE] How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?Annulled3131 comments3030 forecastersAnnulled