When will a major U.S. supermarket sell “no-kill eggs” in at least 25 states?07 Jun 2030 (11 Aug 2028 - Oct 2032)955 comments3535 forecasters07 Jun 2030 (11 Aug 2028 - Oct 2032)
How many of the top 2026 AI labs will reference animal welfare in their models' guidelines at the end of 2034?20 comments4747 forecasters
What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?11k 1000 MT CWE (10.8k - 11.2k)111 comment4646 forecasters11k 1000 MT CWE (10.8k - 11.2k)
What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?7.82 kg per capita (7.7 - 7.98)111 comment4343 forecasters7.82 kg per capita (7.7 - 7.98)
How many of Europe's top 20 grocery retailers will have public shrimp welfare commitments before July 2027?9 retailers (7 - 11)10 comments4545 forecasters9 retailers (7 - 11)
Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom in 2050?10% chance1644 comments7070 forecasters10%chance
How many metric tons of ≥51% cultured meat costing <$10/kg will be sold from 2020 to 2050?622 comments2626 forecasters
How many metric tons of ≥20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?1144 comments3131 forecasters
Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?41.5% chance0 comments11 forecaster41.5%chance
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"0 comments
Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?33.1% chance0 comments33 forecasters33.2%chance
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"0.726 0-100% stated probability (0.684 - 0.767)0 comments22 forecasters0.726 0-100% stated probability (0.684 - 0.767)
Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?result: no944 comments8181 forecastersResolvedNo
If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?0 comments
How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?0 comments11 forecaster
Predict experts' beliefs over “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030, as a +/- percent?0 comments
[PRACTICE] How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?Annulled3131 comments3030 forecastersAnnulled
[PRACTICE] How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?Annulled3131 comments3030 forecastersAnnulled
[PRACTICE] How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?Annulled3737 comments3232 forecastersAnnulled