Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?1699 comments8181 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?27% chance364545 comments468468 forecasters27%chance
What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?92020 comments7373 forecasters
When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?132020 comments3838 forecasters
Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?71% chance62727 comments114114 forecasters71%chance
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?292020 comments192192 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?39172172 comments275275 forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?39% chance602323 comments423423 forecasters39%chance
Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?4% chance61414 comments2828 forecasters4%chance
How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?48686 comments166166 forecasters