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Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?

41%chance

6% this week

7 comments

74 forecasters

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

44 comments

432 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%chance

20 comments

185 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

19 comments

34 forecasters

When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?

Contributed by the JetBrains community.

2 comments

7 forecasters

Will any coding assistant introduce project-wide context awareness by December 15, 2025?

99.9%chance

0.9% this week

23 comments

413 forecasters

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

33%chance

11 comments

81 forecasters

Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?

95%chance

2% this week

8 comments

23 forecasters

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

4%chance

14 comments

60 forecasters

Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?

Will any coding assistant introduce project-wide context awareness by December 15, 2025?

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?

Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?

Will any coding assistant introduce project-wide context awareness by December 15, 2025?

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?