169 comments
243 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama29.5%
AI-Dystopia25.6%
Singularia19.2%
4 comments
48 forecasters
Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?
51%chance
8 comments
23 forecasters
Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?
4%chance
7 comments
73 forecasters