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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
10 comments
49 forecasters

Which book will top the New York Times Hardcover Fiction list for the week of November 2, 2025?

Remain: A Supernatural Love Storyresult: Yes
Other54%
The Secret of Secrets12.5%
8 comments
132 forecasters

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

25%chance
169 comments
245 forecasters

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama30.6%
AI-Dystopia24.4%
Singularia19%
20 comments
187 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

23 comments
413 forecasters

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

35%chance

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

3 comments
12 forecasters

What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
73.1%
10 comments
119 forecasters

What will the world population be in the following years?

6 comments
33 forecasters

What will be the world population in the following years?

6 comments
99 forecasters

Will we reach 2050 without the development of artificial general intelligence and without a major global conflict occurring?

5%chance
2 comments
4 forecasters

Which science fiction novel will win a Hugo Award in 2024?

Some Desperate Glory - Emily Teshresult: Yes
Translation State - Ann Leckie22.2%
Adventures of Amina al-Sirafi - Chakraborty22.1%