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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
169 comments
243 forecasters

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama30%
AI-Dystopia23.7%
Singularia18.9%
condition

CTs AI Admin Disempowerment Before 2030

17 forecasters
if yes
if no

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

26%
26%

CTs AI Extinction Before 2100

5%
5%
4
11 comment
17
17 forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
21 comments
404 forecasters

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

33%chance
14 comments
44 forecasters

Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?

29.4%chance

Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool

14
66 comments

Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
1313 comments
Economist 2021

The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Live!

7
88 comments

A Global Catastrophe This Century

24
22 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
7 comments
132 forecasters

Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?

resultNo
4 comments
131 forecasters

Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?

resultNo