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Artificial Intelligence
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169
comments
243
forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama
30%
AI-Dystopia
23.7%
Singularia
18.9%
2 others
27%
condition
CTs AI Admin Disempowerment Before 2030
17
forecasters
if yes
if no
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
26%
26%
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
5%
5%
4
1
1
comment
17
17
forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
21
comments
404
forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
chance
14
comments
44
forecasters
Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?
29.4%
chance
Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool
14
6
6
comments
Economist 2021 Series Announcement
8
13
13
comments
Economist 2021
The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Live!
7
8
8
comments
A Global Catastrophe This Century
24
2
2
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
7
comments
132
forecasters
Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?
result
No
4
comments
131
forecasters
Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?
result
No
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