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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

29% chance

2
88 comments
35
35 forecasters
29%chance

Will a mandatory evacuation order be issued for any area of Virginia related to any tropical cyclone in 2023?

result: no

4
88 comments
47
47 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Which week in late 2023 will have the highest percent of medical visits for Influenza-like Illness in Virginia?

51.2 (50.8 - 51.9)

2
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
51.2
(50.8 - 51.9)

What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)?

2
7575 comments
30
30 forecasters

What will the total number of confirmed current hospitalizations due to COVID in Virginia for the Saturdays of the weeks shown below?

2
1313 comments
30
30 forecasters

Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022?

result: no

44 comments
24
24 forecasters
ResolvedNo

How many eviction cases will be filed in Virginia in Q4 2021?

14.3k (9694 - 19.6k)

2
2525 comments
24
24 forecasters
14.3k
(9694 - 19.6k)

Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before June 10, 2022?

result: yes

1
66 comments
18
18 forecasters
ResolvedYes

What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 27, 2022?

548 (443 - 682)

99 comments
17
17 forecasters
548
(443 - 682)

What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 6, 2022?

209 (177 - 249)

-2
33 comments
14
14 forecasters
209
(177 - 249)

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022?

975 (658 - 1405)

1
66 comments
23
23 forecasters
975
(658 - 1405)

What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022?

39.6 (34.7 - 43.7)

88 comments
25
25 forecasters
39.6
(34.7 - 43.7)

How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update?

2.79 (0.894 - 8.15)

1
33 comments
24
24 forecasters
2.79
(0.894 - 8.15)

What will the total number of confirmed hospital admissions due to COVID in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)?

4
1313 comments
28
28 forecasters

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?

833 (528 - 1231)

-1
55 comments
29
29 forecasters
833
(528 - 1231)

What will be Virginiaโ€™s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?

125k (122k - 127k)

22 comments
28
28 forecasters
125k
(122k - 127k)

When will Virginiaโ€™s weekly total of new confirmed and probable COVID-19 cases fall below 1015?

>04 May 2022 00:00 (24 Apr 2022 - >04 May 2022 00:00)

3
1212 comments
26
26 forecasters
>04 May 2022 00:00
(24 Apr 2022 - >04 May 2022 00:00)

How many of Virginia's 133 communities will be experiencing moderate or higher levels of community transmission as of 7 March 2022?

128 (116 - 132)

1
88 comments
21
21 forecasters
128
(116 - 132)

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between Dec 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?

1809 (1537 - 1845)

1
44 comments
27
27 forecasters
1809
(1537 - 1845)

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?

914 (697 - 1168)

3
44 comments
24
24 forecasters
914
(697 - 1168)

What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?

2982 (2330 - 3776)

3
99 comments
25
25 forecasters
2982
(2330 - 3776)

What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 14 January 2022?

66.7 (62.9 - 70.8)

2
66 comments
32
32 forecasters
66.7
(62.9 - 70.8)

What percentage of Virginiaโ€™s population will have received a booster dose as of 4 January 2022?

24.6 (22.7 - 26.8)

2
88 comments
33
33 forecasters
24.6
(22.7 - 26.8)

How many new COVID-19 outbreaks will occur in Virginian long-term care facilities before 1 August 2022?

567 (424 - >600)

6
1111 comments
18
18 forecasters
567
(424 - >600)