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0 comments
92 forecasters

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

17 comments
148 forecasters

Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?

9%chance
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?

1%chance
4% this week
3 comments
28 forecasters

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

22%chance
13.7% this week
0 comments
84 forecasters

Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

12%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments
52 forecasters

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

resultNo
26 comments
196 forecasters

Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?

resultNo
17 comments
200 forecasters

Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?

resultNo