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0
comments
92
forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
17
comments
148
forecasters
Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?
9%
chance
0
comments
28
forecasters
Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?
1%
chance
4%
this week
3
comments
28
forecasters
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?
22%
chance
13.7%
this week
0
comments
84
forecasters
Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
100
forecasters
Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?
35%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
101
forecasters
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
12%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2
comments
52
forecasters
Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?
result
No
26
comments
196
forecasters
Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?
result
No
17
comments
200
forecasters
Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?
result
No
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