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2 comments
52 forecasters

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

resultNo
15 comments
282 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29%chance
11 comments
87 forecasters

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

21 comments
73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2%
Saudi ArabiaAnnulled
9 comments
111 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran57%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
10 comments
34 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will nuclear deterrence no longer hold?

30%chance
14 comments
1.2k forecasters

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

0.3%chance
8 comments
115 forecasters

Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?

resultNo
15 comments
144 forecasters

Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?

6%chance
1 comment
14 forecasters

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

Latest estimate
2048

This question is closed for forecasting.