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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
21 comments
73 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2.5%
Japan1%
9 comments
109 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran64%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea9%
8 comments
115 forecasters

Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?

resultNo
14 comments
1.1k forecasters

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

1.2%chance
3 comments
81 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

9%chance
83 comments
402 forecasters

Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?

resultNo
8 comments
15 forecasters

When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?

community
30 Jun 2025
result
13 Jun 2025 03:00
9 comments
307 forecasters

If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

Ukraine15%
Israel13%
India13%
2 comments
52 forecasters

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

resultNo
14 comments
42 forecasters

How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?

949%
1038%
1111%