0 comments
82 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-09-26 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?
43.1%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 9.10% on 2025-09-27 for the Metaculus question "Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?"?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
84 comments
81 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?"?
resultYes
4 comments
10 forecasters
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
75 comments
74 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 12.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?"?
resultYes
14 comments
85 forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind13%
Microsoft5%
xAI3%