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0 comments
99 forecasters

Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

8 comments
46 forecasters

Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?

10%chance
5% today

Key Factors

0 comments
92 forecasters

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

17 comments
148 forecasters

Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?

9%chance
14 comments
31 forecasters

On how many days in the following years will China carry out โ€œreactionaryโ€ air incursions into Taiwanโ€™s air defense identification zone?

3 comments
28 forecasters

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

22%chance
13.7% this week
9 comments
98 forecasters

Will the United States test a nuclear weapon before 2023?

resultNo
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?

3%chance
0 comments
84 forecasters

Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.