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84 comments
81 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?"?

resultYes
0 comments
84 forecasters

Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
47 forecasters

Is approval granted in the 2025 public vote regarding Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant’s second unit?

resultNo
1 comment
48 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 32.00% on 2025-08-30 for the Metaculus question 'Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?'?

resultNo
1 comment
45 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 28.00% on 2025-08-31 for the Metaculus question 'Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?'?

resultYes
0 comments
48 forecasters

Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?

5%chance
7% this week
32 comments
95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled
LebanonAnnulled
Saudi ArabiaAnnulled
1 comment
47 forecasters

Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?

Annulled
7 comments
33 forecasters

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%
Estonia30%
Poland30%
20 comments
89 forecasters

Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?

resultNo