0 comments
83 forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
101 forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
109 forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
14%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
21 comments
305 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%chance
44 comments
434 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%chance
15 comments
282 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29%chance
12 comments
176 forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Current estimate
56.9M birds