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26
comments
43
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%
chance
9%
this week
Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index
5
3
3
comments
20
comments
287
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
24%
chance
‘Five Years After AGI’ Focus Week
17
43
43
comments
Five Years After AGI
4
comments
59
forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems
community
52.7
result
39.19
30
comments
42
forecasters
Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?
5%
chance
AGI Readiness Index
2
8
8
comments
Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified
13
27
27
comments
Q3 AI Benchmarking: Did Bots Outperform Human Forecasters?
12
13
13
comments
Conditional Trees for AI Risk: A New Question Series and Report
7
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Conditional Trees: AI Risk
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