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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
26 comments
43 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11%chance
9% this week

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

5
33 comments
20 comments
287 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

24%chance

‘Five Years After AGI’ Focus Week

17
4343 comments
Five Years After AGI
4 comments
59 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems

community
52.7
result
39.19
30 comments
42 forecasters

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

5%chance

AGI Readiness Index

2
88 comments

Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified

13
2727 comments

Q3 AI Benchmarking: Did Bots Outperform Human Forecasters?

12
1313 comments

Conditional Trees for AI Risk: A New Question Series and Report

7
0 comments
Conditional Trees: AI Risk