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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
21 comments
305 forecasters

Ragnarรถk Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance

Monitor AIโ€™s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

5
66 comments
26 comments
44 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11%chance
19 comments
146 forecasters

Are we in a simulated reality? Part I

resultNo
22 comments
281 forecasters

Are we in a simulated reality? Part II

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

4 comments
59 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems

community
52.7
result
39.19

โ€˜Five Years After AGIโ€™ Focus Week

17
4343 comments
Five Years After AGI
30 comments
42 forecasters

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

5%chance

AGI Readiness Index

2
88 comments

Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified

13
2727 comments