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🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
10
comments
6
forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
0
comments
88
forecasters
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Low
78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)
18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)
3.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
97
forecasters
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Platform feature suggestions
113
3.1k
3.1k
comments
Metaculus Meta
0
comments
94
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-10-22 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?
35%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
10%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
1
comment
9
forecasters
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
82.6%
32
comments
154
forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
47.4 Deaths
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
5
5
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
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