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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
12
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comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding
5
3
3
comments
Research Agencies Outlook
0
comments
98
forecasters
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
93.5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
4
10
10
comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
3
3
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
Platform feature suggestions
112
3.1k
3.1k
comments
Metaculus Meta
🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
4
0
comments
11
comments
98
forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
56.6 Deaths
0
comments
107
forecasters
[PRACTICE] What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?
Latest estimate
34.3%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
108
forecasters
[PRACTICE] What will be the community prediction of this question divided by 2?
Latest estimate
15.8 units
This question is closed for forecasting.
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