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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

12
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
0 comments
98 forecasters

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

93.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

4
1010 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
33 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Platform feature suggestions

112
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
11 comments
98 forecasters

How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?

Current estimate
56.6 Deaths
0 comments
107 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?

Latest estimate
34.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
108 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What will be the community prediction of this question divided by 2?

Latest estimate
15.8 units

This question is closed for forecasting.