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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2
comments
37
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
4
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0
comments
88
forecasters
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Low
78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)
18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)
3.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
10
comments
8
forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
15%
chance
5%
this week
0
comments
97
forecasters
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Platform feature suggestions
113
3.1k
3.1k
comments
Metaculus Meta
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
1
comment
9
forecasters
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
82.6%
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