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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

13
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
22 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments

Platform feature suggestions

112
3k3k comments
Metaculus Meta
14 comments
85 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind13%
Microsoft5%
xAI3%

Announcing the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025!

23
2323 comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
3939 comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

0 comments
12 forecasters

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Persuasion?

30%chance
20% this week

Introducing Comments of the Week

15
2020 comments

Suggest questions to launch

121
2.8k2.8k comments
Metaculus Meta