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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
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U.S. Democracy Threat Index
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
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AI Pathways Tournament
🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
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comments
Platform feature suggestions
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comments
Metaculus Meta
14
comments
85
forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
13%
Microsoft
5%
xAI
3%
14 others
Announcing the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025!
23
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23
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Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup
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Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
0
comments
12
forecasters
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Persuasion?
30%
chance
20%
this week
Introducing Comments of the Week
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20
20
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Suggest questions to launch
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