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Metaculus Meta
13
comments
16
forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H3N2
66.1
H1N1
37.1
H5
<0.1
0
comments
83
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
6
6
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
17
comments
22
forecasters
What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?
Moderate
58.8%
High
27.9%
Low (or lower)
10%
1 other
3%
0
comments
109
forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
14%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
17
comments
19
forecasters
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
00
14
comments
18
forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
RSV
3.53
Flu
9.7
COVID-19
3.87
1 other
15
comments
17
forecasters
What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?
Current estimate
86.8%
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
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