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comments
83
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
86
forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
Current estimate
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in 1 hour
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comments
109
forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
14%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
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Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students
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RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge
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107
forecasters
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
10%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant
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0
comments
88
forecasters
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Low
78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)
18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)
3.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
97
forecasters
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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