Will Donald Trump be impeached for a third time, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments2323 forecasters
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?53535 comments3737 forecasters
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?21238238 comments223223 forecasters
Will Donald Trump pay his settlement to E. Jean Carroll before January 20, 2029?0.1% chance44 comments2424 forecasters0.1%chance
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?01 Sep 2029 (16 Nov 2028 - 13 Nov 2029)91616 comments2020 forecasters01 Sep 2029 (16 Nov 2028 - 13 Nov 2029)
What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?-17.4% (-23.4 - -11.4)11 comment1515 forecasters-17.4% (-23.4 - -11.4)
Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to open or accelerate a case against a high-profile presidential opponent or critic in the following years?22 comments103103 forecasters
Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025?result: yes221414 comments113113 forecastersResolvedYes
What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?-18.8% (-22.3 - -15)144 comments755755 forecasters-18.8% (-22.3 - -15)
How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024?0.0517 (0.0198 - 0.186)71414 comments6363 forecasters0.0517 (0.0198 - 0.186)
Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?result: no138181 comments142142 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?30% chance33 comments6767 forecasters30%chance
Before November 5th, 2024, will Donald Trump successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case?result: no82020 comments7272 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the outcome of Donald Trump's New York "hush money" criminal trial?74545 comments5454 forecasters
Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024?result: no533 comments147147 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024?result: yes268181 comments223223 forecastersResolvedYes
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?2% chance54207207 comments818818 forecasters2%chance
When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)>01 Jan 2026 00:00 (>01 Jan 2026 00:00 - >01 Jan 2026 00:00)42727 comments3232 forecasters>01 Jan 2026 00:00 (>01 Jan 2026 00:00 - >01 Jan 2026 00:00)
Trump Felony Conviction Before Election? → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)422 comments66 forecasters
Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election?result: yes41106106 comments919919 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?result: yes29221221 comments357357 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the United States attack Venezuela in December 2025 or January 2026?result: yes33030 comments148148 forecastersResolvedYes
If Donald J. Trump is convicted in the classified documents case, how many months of imprisonment will he be sentenced to?7.85 (2.49 - 21.1)1010 comments3232 forecasters7.85 (2.49 - 21.1)
Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?9595 comments9797 forecasters