Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?53535 comments3737 forecasters
Will Donald Trump pay his settlement to E. Jean Carroll before January 20, 2029?6% chance88 comments2323 forecasters6%chance
Will Donald Trump pardon anyone involved in these cases of political violence during his second term?288 comments1919 forecasters
What will be the outcome of Donald J. Trump's defamation lawsuit against the BBC?333 comments1212 forecasters
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?21238238 comments223223 forecasters
Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?30% chance33 comments6565 forecasters30%chance
What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?-19.4% (-24.9 - -13.8)11 comment7575 forecasters-19.4% (-24.9 - -13.8)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before Jan. 21, 2029?11% chance355 comments3131 forecasters11%chance
What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?-18.7% (-22.1 - -15.3)144 comments756756 forecasters-18.7% (-22.1 - -15.3)
Will Donald Trump be impeached for a third time, conditional on control of Congress?20 comments6060 forecasters
Before November 5th, 2024, will Donald Trump successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case?result: no82020 comments7272 forecastersResolvedNo
Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025?result: yes221414 comments113113 forecastersResolvedYes
Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to open or accelerate a case against a high-profile presidential opponent or critic in the following years?33 comments117117 forecasters
Will Donald Trump testify at the hush money trial?result: no53030 comments101101 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the outcome of Donald Trump's New York "hush money" criminal trial?74545 comments5454 forecasters
Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024?result: no533 comments147147 forecastersResolvedNo
When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case)>01 Jan 2026 (>01 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2026)41818 comments3030 forecastersResolvedMore than 01 Jan 2026
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?result: yes30221221 comments357357 forecastersResolvedYes
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?1% chance54208208 comments818818 forecasters1%chance
When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)>01 Jan 2026 00:00 (>01 Jan 2026 00:00 - >01 Jan 2026 00:00)42727 comments3232 forecastersResolvedMore than 01 Jan 2026 00:00
Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?result: no138181 comments142142 forecastersResolvedNo
How many members of Trump's second-term Cabinet will be convicted of crimes before 2033?5 People (1 - 8)133 comments1010 forecasters5 People (1 - 8)