0 comments
5 forecasters
Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to open or accelerate a case against a high-profile presidential opponent or critic in the following years?
35 comments
37 forecasters
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?
Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No
Barack Obamaresult: No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No
238 comments
223 forecasters
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?
J.D. Vanceresult: Yes
Vivek Ramaswamyresult: No
Donald Trump Jr.result: No
3 comments
130 forecasters
Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?
3%chance
2% this week
2 comments
7 forecasters
Will Donald Trump pay his settlement to E. Jean Carroll before January 20, 2029?
10%chance
26 comments
31 forecasters
When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case)
Current estimate
>01 Jan 2026
20 comments
72 forecasters
Before November 5th, 2024, will Donald Trump successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case?
resultNo
45 comments
54 forecasters
What will be the outcome of Donald Trump's New York "hush money" criminal trial?
Trump found guilty of at least one felonyresult: Yes
Trump found guilty of ONLY misdemeanour(s)1%
Mixed: partial acquittal, no convictions1%