Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?40% chance253333 comments183183 forecasters40%chance
Will marijuana be rescheduled at the federal level in the US before 2030?90% chance344 comments2020 forecasters90%chance
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?result: no223232 comments544544 forecastersResolvedNo
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before September 30, 2024?result: no5858 comments3131 forecastersResolvedNo
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before September 30, 2024?result: no6969 comments3838 forecastersResolvedNo
Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?result: yes183636 comments159159 forecastersResolvedYes
Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?75% chance644 comments5757 forecasters75%chance
Will marijuana still be listed as a US Schedule I controlled substance on December 31, 2024?result: yes5959 comments2828 forecastersResolvedYes
How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?4.41 states (2.89 - 9.79)1177 comments4545 forecasters4.41 states (2.89 - 9.79)
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2024?result: no394848 comments379379 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?333 comments1616 forecasters
How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?59.9 countries (31.4 - 82)81616 comments3030 forecasters59.9 countries (31.4 - 82)