Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?14% chance377 comments751751 forecasters14%chance
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?36% chance253333 comments183183 forecasters36%chance
Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025?result: no99 comments177177 forecastersResolvedNo
How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?4.22 states (2.93 - 8.49)1177 comments4646 forecasters4.22 states (2.93 - 8.49)
Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?result: yes183636 comments159159 forecastersResolvedYes
How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?60.6 countries (33.2 - 82.2)81717 comments3131 forecasters60.6 countries (33.2 - 82.2)
Will marijuana be rescheduled at the federal level in the US before 2030?95% chance344 comments1818 forecasters95%chance
Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?77% chance644 comments5656 forecasters77%chance
What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?333 comments1616 forecasters