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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
33 comments
176 forecasters

Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?

63.9%chance
7 comments
44 forecasters

How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?

Current estimate
5.53 states
4 comments
204 forecasters

Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025?

5%chance
36 comments
159 forecasters

Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?

resultYes
4 comments
56 forecasters

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

70%chance
3 comments
13 forecasters

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

2026122k
2028120k

Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions

15
0 comments
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
16 comments
30 forecasters

How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

Current estimate
59.6 countries