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Metaculus Meta
0 comments
107 forecasters

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate
Revealed in 5 days

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments
9 comments
40 forecasters

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
8 comments
35 forecasters

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
0 comments
AI Progress Essay Contest
14 comments
63 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind20%
Amazon5%
Microsoft4%
6 comments
54 forecasters

Will the CEO of OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet (Google) publicly commit to specific limitations on their company’s AI system autonomy before January 1, 2027?

19%chance

Key Factors