0 comments
89 forecasters
How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?
Latest estimate
33.4 users
This question is closed for forecasting.
Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.
Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.
0 comments
107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
9 comments
40 forecasters
At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?
Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
4 comments
14 forecasters
How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?
Current estimate
46.5 users
0 comments
100 forecasters
Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?
75%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.