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0 comments
107 forecasters

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments
21 comments
305 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance
44 comments
434 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%chance
5 comments
26 forecasters

How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?

Current estimate
5.86 paths
100 comments
451 forecasters

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

50.8%chance
4 comments
21 forecasters

In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?

Current estimate
31.2%
52 comments
283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
26 comments
44 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11%chance