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0
comments
107
forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
10
2
2
comments
Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant
0
comments
21
comments
305
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%
chance
44
comments
434
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%
chance
5
comments
26
forecasters
How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?
Current estimate
5.86 paths
100
comments
451
forecasters
Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
50.8%
chance
4
comments
21
forecasters
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?
Current estimate
31.2%
52
comments
283
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
26
comments
44
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%
chance
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