0 comments
107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
12 comments
69 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
15%chance
10% this week
21 comments
307 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%chance
44 comments
435 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%chance
2 comments
51 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
78%chance
1 comment
20 forecasters
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?
Current estimate
142M $
7 comments
16 forecasters
Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?
Study 258.3%
Study 153%