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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
55 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
107 forecasters

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments
9 comments
40 forecasters

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No

Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students

8
1212 comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge

Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

5
11 comment

Suggest questions to launch

121
2.8k2.8k comments
Metaculus Meta
14 comments
63 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind20%
Microsoft4%
Amazon3%