8 comments
35 forecasters
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
44 comments
434 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%chance
21 comments
305 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%chance
100 comments
451 forecasters
Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
50.8%chance
4 comments
21 forecasters
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?
Current estimate
31.2%
7 comments
16 forecasters
Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?
Study 258.3%
Study 153%