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0
comments
15
forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
0
comments
14
forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?
0
comments
46
forecasters
Will a SCOTUS decision weakening donor disclosure rules for political spending or electioneering communications be good law in the following years?
1
comment
11
forecasters
Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Republican Party
Upcoming
Democratic Party
Upcoming
Other
Upcoming
0
comments
3
forecasters
What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 8 hours
condition
In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?
9
forecasters
if yes
if no
What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
0
comments
9
9
forecasters
POTUS Predictions
38
comments
64
forecasters
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
result:
48.3242
Republican
result:
49.79607
Green
result:
0.555306
3 others
2
comments
12
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
62.5%
José Antonio Kast
27.5%
Evelyn Matthei
2.5%
5 others
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
17
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
6
comments
40
forecasters
What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023?
community
4.45
result
6.6
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