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1 comment
42 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette JaraUpcoming
José Antonio KastUpcoming
Evelyn MattheiUpcoming

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
55 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
5 comments
52 forecasters

Which party will win the Virginia gubernatorial election of 2025?

Democrats (Spanberger)96.5%
Republicans (Earl-Sears)3.4%
Other0.1%
13 comments
11 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

ANO 2011result: 80 seats
Civic Democratic Party (ODS)result: 27 seats
Mayors and Independents (STAN)result: 22 seats
2 comments
45 forecasters

Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?

ANOresult: Yes
Spolu17.8%
Other4.6%
38 comments
80 forecasters

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

203060%
204040%
205033%
0 comments
45 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
43 forecasters

Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?

New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
1111 comments
POTUS Predictions
0 comments
44 forecasters

Will a SCOTUS decision weakening donor disclosure rules for political spending or electioneering communications be good law in the following years?