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15 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
46 forecasters

Will a SCOTUS decision weakening donor disclosure rules for political spending or electioneering communications be good law in the following years?

1 comment
11 forecasters

Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Republican PartyUpcoming
Democratic PartyUpcoming
OtherUpcoming
0 comments
3 forecasters

What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?

Current estimate
Revealed in 8 hours
condition

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

9 forecasters
if yes
if no

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

0 comments
9
9 forecasters
POTUS Predictions
38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
2 comments
12 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara62.5%
José Antonio Kast27.5%
Evelyn Matthei2.5%

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
6 comments
40 forecasters

What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023?

community
4.45
result
6.6