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0 comments
2 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara24%
José Antonio Kast36%
Evelyn Matthei15%
9 comments
13 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara65%
José Antonio Kast20%
Evelyn Matthei3.5%
0 comments
3 forecasters

What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?

Current estimate
10.5 votes

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
16 comments
38 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
38 comments
81 forecasters

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

203061%
205040%
204040%

New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
1111 comments
POTUS Predictions
2 comments
138 forecasters

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

10%chance
1 comment
3 forecasters

What share of the popular vote will each party receive in the next South African general election (2029)?

African National Congress (ANC)44.3
Democratic Alliance (DA)24.7
Mkonto weSizwe (MK)22.1