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1 comment
46 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara66%
José Antonio Kast36%
Evelyn Matthei7%

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
38 comments
81 forecasters

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

203060%
204040%
205038%
16 comments
38 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes

New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
1111 comments
POTUS Predictions
38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
1 comment
3 forecasters

What share of the popular vote will each party receive in the next South African general election (2029)?

African National Congress (ANC)44.3
Democratic Alliance (DA)24.7
Mkonto weSizwe (MK)22.1
2 comments
140 forecasters

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

10%chance
0 comments
99 forecasters

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

Current estimate
7.28
6 comments
32 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election?

Labourresult: Yes
Progressresult: No
Conservativeresult: No