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1
comment
46
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
66%
José Antonio Kast
36%
Evelyn Matthei
7%
5 others
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
38
comments
81
forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
2030
60%
2040
40%
2050
38%
16
comments
38
forecasters
Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?
Texas
result:
Yes
Florida
result:
Yes
Missouri
result:
Yes
12 others
New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament
40
11
11
comments
POTUS Predictions
38
comments
64
forecasters
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
result:
48.3242
Republican
result:
49.79607
Green
result:
0.555306
3 others
1
comment
3
forecasters
What share of the popular vote will each party receive in the next South African general election (2029)?
African National Congress (ANC)
44.3
Democratic Alliance (DA)
24.7
Mkonto weSizwe (MK)
22.1
5 others
2
comments
140
forecasters
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
10%
chance
0
comments
99
forecasters
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?
Current estimate
7.28
6
comments
32
forecasters
Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election?
Labour
result:
Yes
Progress
result:
No
Conservative
result:
No
7 others
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