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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

12
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
1 comment
2 forecasters

What share of the popular vote will each party receive in the next South African general election (2029)?

African National Congress (ANC)80.1
Democratic Alliance (DA)24.6
Mkonto weSizwe (MK)22.2
6 comments
32 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election?

Labourresult: Yes
Progressresult: No
Conservativeresult: No

New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament

40
1111 comments
POTUS Predictions
8 comments
12 forecasters

What will be India's rating in the Freedom In the World Report for the following years?

16 comments
38 forecasters

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
29 comments
80 forecasters

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

203063%
204040%
205040%
0 comments
94 forecasters

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

Current estimate
7.18
38 comments
64 forecasters

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
8 comments
25 forecasters

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?