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0
comments
2
forecasters
Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
24%
José Antonio Kast
36%
Evelyn Matthei
15%
5 others
9
comments
13
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
65%
José Antonio Kast
20%
Evelyn Matthei
3.5%
5 others
0
comments
3
forecasters
What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?
Current estimate
10.5 votes
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
17
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
38
comments
64
forecasters
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
result:
48.3242
Republican
result:
49.79607
Green
result:
0.555306
3 others
16
comments
38
forecasters
Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?
Texas
result:
Yes
Florida
result:
Yes
Missouri
result:
Yes
12 others
38
comments
81
forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
2030
61%
2050
40%
2040
40%
New Questions Live in $15k POTUS Predictions Tournament
40
11
11
comments
POTUS Predictions
2
comments
138
forecasters
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
10%
chance
1
comment
3
forecasters
What share of the popular vote will each party receive in the next South African general election (2029)?
African National Congress (ANC)
44.3
Democratic Alliance (DA)
24.7
Mkonto weSizwe (MK)
22.1
5 others
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