0 comments
3 forecasters
What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?
Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
38 comments
64 forecasters
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
2 comments
12 forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara62.5%
José Antonio Kast27.5%
Evelyn Matthei2.5%
16 comments
38 forecasters
Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?
Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
38 comments
81 forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
203061%
204045%
205040%
2 comments
137 forecasters
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
10%chance
1 comment
3 forecasters
What share of the popular vote will each party receive in the next South African general election (2029)?
African National Congress (ANC)44.3
Democratic Alliance (DA)24.7
Mkonto weSizwe (MK)22.1
0 comments
94 forecasters
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?
Current estimate
7.36