Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
8
comments
85
forecasters
Prototype self-flying taxi in 2017?
result
No
6
comments
8
forecasters
When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?
Current estimate
Jul 2034
48
comments
157
forecasters
When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?
Current estimate
>Dec 2030
45
comments
70
forecasters
Will a technical problem be identified as the cause of the crash of China Eastern Airlines Flight 5735?
Ambiguous
10
comments
47
forecasters
Will an Aerospike (finally) Fly?
result
No
Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market
12
0
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Space Sector ‘Greenification’
10
1
1
comment
Metaculus Journal Archives
10
comments
87
forecasters
Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?
2.5%
chance