When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?>28 Dec 2030 (03 Jan 2030 - >28 Dec 2030)294949 comments158158 forecasters>28 Dec 2030 (03 Jan 2030 - >28 Dec 2030)
When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?>Dec 2034 (May 2034 - >Dec 2034)266 comments88 forecasters>Dec 2034 (May 2034 - >Dec 2034)
Will any FAA-certified eVTOL passenger service be open to the general public in at least one U.S. city before Jan. 1, 2027?10% chance33 comments1717 forecasters10%chance
Will a technical problem be identified as the cause of the crash of China Eastern Airlines Flight 5735?15% chance114545 comments7070 forecastersAmbiguous
Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?1% chance71010 comments8888 forecasters1%chance