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1 comment

Will "Weapons" have a Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" score of 95% or higher at 10:00 AM ET on August 11, 2025?

resultYes
5 comments
38 forecasters

Will the Japan Self-Defense Forces have tested a Tomahawk missile by mid-2027?

76%chance
0 comments
11 forecasters

What proportion of offensive nuclear detonations by 2030 will be of nonstrategic nuclear weapons, if there's at least one offensive detonation by then?

Current estimate
0.889%
6 comments
15 forecasters

Railguns used in warfare before 2035?

50%chance
15 comments
281 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29.2%chance
68 comments
499 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

27.2%chance
10 comments
87 forecasters

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

0 comments
27 forecasters

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

20351%
20300.5%
12 comments
48 forecasters

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

7%chance
0 comments
52 forecasters

Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

1.4%chance