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1
comment
Will "Weapons" have a Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" score of 95% or higher at 10:00 AM ET on August 11, 2025?
result
Yes
5
comments
38
forecasters
Will the Japan Self-Defense Forces have tested a Tomahawk missile by mid-2027?
76%
chance
0
comments
11
forecasters
What proportion of offensive nuclear detonations by 2030 will be of nonstrategic nuclear weapons, if there's at least one offensive detonation by then?
Current estimate
0.889%
6
comments
15
forecasters
Railguns used in warfare before 2035?
50%
chance
15
comments
281
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%
chance
68
comments
499
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
27.2%
chance
10
comments
87
forecasters
How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?
0
comments
27
forecasters
Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?
2035
1%
2030
0.5%
12
comments
48
forecasters
Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?
7%
chance
0
comments
52
forecasters
Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?
1.4%
chance
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