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8
comments
Will Poland and Ukraine settle the Przewodów incident before 2024?
Annulled
35
comments
175
forecasters
Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?
result
Yes
1
comment
49
forecasters
Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?
result
No
155
comments
341
forecasters
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
Current estimate
09 Nov 2026
30
comments
129
forecasters
Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023?
result
No
15
comments
195
forecasters
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2%
chance
158
comments
903
forecasters
Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?
result
No
126
comments
224
forecasters
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
result
No
20
comments
33
forecasters
If Russia detonates a nuclear device offensively before 2024, which cities will be ongoing battlegrounds at that time?
Sevastopol
Annulled
Luhansk city
Annulled
Dzhankoi
Annulled
8 others
113
comments
151
forecasters
Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024?
result
Yes
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