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8 comments

Will Poland and Ukraine settle the Przewodów incident before 2024?

Annulled
35 comments
175 forecasters

Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?

resultYes
1 comment
49 forecasters

Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?

resultNo
155 comments
341 forecasters

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

Current estimate
09 Nov 2026
30 comments
129 forecasters

Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023?

resultNo
15 comments
195 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

2%chance
158 comments
903 forecasters

Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?

resultNo
126 comments
224 forecasters

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

resultNo
20 comments
33 forecasters

If Russia detonates a nuclear device offensively before 2024, which cities will be ongoing battlegrounds at that time?

SevastopolAnnulled
Luhansk cityAnnulled
DzhankoiAnnulled
113 comments
151 forecasters

Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024?

resultYes