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How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

Ambiguous

The Path to Controlling Cancer

8
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%chance

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

7
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

7
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

no comments0

The new variants and the next phase of the pandemic

no comments0
condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

Closed
17 forecasters
if yes
if no

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

118

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

129
13 comments13
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

4%chance

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2.8%chance