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Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

5
4 comments4

Streamlined, LLM-Enhanced Question Discovery

19
10 comments10

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

5
no comments0

Pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard by 2021?

resultNo

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
34 comments34
Ragnarök Series

Will there be more ArXiv AI publications in the “Computation and Language” subcategory than in the “Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition” subcategory in the calendar year 2019?

resultNo

What percent of ArXiv AI publications in the calendar year 2019 will be in the subcategory “Computation and Language”?

result15.21

Lightning Round Tournament Discussion 1.0

7
5 comments5
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

What rank will "Improving Sino-Western Coordination on Global Catastrophic Risk" be on 80,000 Hours's "highest-impact career paths" list on January 1, 2024?

result16

🔬Aug 29—Transparent Replications: New Study

16
no comments0
Transparent Replications