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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

5
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

resultYes

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

5%chance
27% this week

How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?

Key Factor

Few available Patriot systems for Ukraine

080.7%
110.3%
26.3%
and 2 others

Key Factor

Few available Patriot systems for Ukraine

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Anthropic reach or surpass ASL-4?

Nov 2031

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

9%chance

How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?

How many U.S. metro areas with more than 500k people will have non-routine military or federalized National Guard deployments before Nov 3, 2026?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

73%chance
4% this week