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Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

19%chance
26% this week

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

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War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict

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Predicting Russia's Failure

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Metaculus Journal Archives

Reducing Nuclear Risk Through Improved US-China Relations

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Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

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Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine Conflict Update for 2022-4-5

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Ukraine Conflict

900+ Forecasters on Whether Russia Will Invade Ukraine

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