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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
38 comments
81 forecasters

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

203061%
205040%
204040%
0 comments
8 forecasters

How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?

202548.5
202646
202744.9
0 comments
94 forecasters

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

Current estimate
7.35
2 comments
36 forecasters

Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

20%chance
0 comments
36 forecasters

Five years after AGI, how much democracy will there be?

Current estimate
13%
11 comments
53 forecasters

When will North Korea become a democracy?

Current estimate
Oct 2069
11 comments
56 forecasters

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

Current estimate
7.09
25 comments
83 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?

Latest estimate
86.2

This question is closed for forecasting.