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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
7
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0
comments
4
forecasters
How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?
2025
Upcoming
2026
Upcoming
2027
Upcoming
1 other
3
comments
39
forecasters
Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?
48%
chance
8%
this week
0
comments
92
forecasters
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?
Current estimate
7.23
25
comments
83
forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?
Latest estimate
86.2
This question is closed for forecasting.
19
comments
124
forecasters
How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?
29
comments
80
forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
2030
60%
2040
45%
2050
38%
2
comments
30
forecasters
Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
25%
chance
11
comments
55
forecasters
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
Current estimate
7.08
17
comments
40
forecasters
When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?
Current estimate
2090
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