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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

7
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
4 forecasters

How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?

2025Upcoming
2026Upcoming
2027Upcoming
3 comments
39 forecasters

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

48%chance
8% this week
0 comments
92 forecasters

What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?

Current estimate
7.23
25 comments
83 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?

Latest estimate
86.2

This question is closed for forecasting.

19 comments
124 forecasters

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

29 comments
80 forecasters

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

203060%
204045%
205038%
2 comments
30 forecasters

Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

25%chance
11 comments
55 forecasters

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

Current estimate
7.08
17 comments
40 forecasters

When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?

Current estimate
2090