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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
17
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
38
comments
81
forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
2030
61%
2050
40%
2040
40%
0
comments
8
forecasters
How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?
2025
48.5
2026
46
2027
44.9
1 other
0
comments
94
forecasters
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?
Current estimate
7.35
2
comments
36
forecasters
Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
20%
chance
0
comments
36
forecasters
Five years after AGI, how much democracy will there be?
Current estimate
13%
11
comments
53
forecasters
When will North Korea become a democracy?
Current estimate
Oct 2069
11
comments
56
forecasters
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
Current estimate
7.09
25
comments
83
forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?
Latest estimate
86.2
This question is closed for forecasting.