What will be the final value of the U.S. Democracy Threat Index for 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?33 comments5959 forecasters
How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?166 comments9595 forecasters
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?7.41 (6.57 - 8.35)151111 comments5757 forecasters7.41 (6.57 - 8.35)
Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?10% chance633 comments4545 forecasters10%chance
When will North Korea become a democracy?Sep 2075 (Jan 2049 - 2128)171111 comments5454 forecastersSep 2075 (Jan 2049 - 2128)
Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?86.2 (81.9 - 90.7)252525 comments8383 forecasters86.2 (81.9 - 90.7)