When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?Jan 2073 (Jun 2052 - >2100)252525 comments156156 forecastersJan 2073 (Jun 2052 - >2100)
When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?Nov 2047 (Mar 2040 - Aug 2058)201111 comments9999 forecastersNov 2047 (Mar 2040 - Aug 2058)
What is the expected (median) date of deuterium-tritium fusion operations for ITER in its new schedule (2024)?Oct 2039 (Nov 2035 - Aug 2044)21111 comments33 forecastersResolvedJun 2039 UTC
When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?Aug 2041 (Mar 2034 - Nov 2053)413030 comments256256 forecastersAug 2041 (Mar 2034 - Nov 2053)
Will there be 36 or more private fusion-energy companies in 2022?result: no91919 comments8989 forecastersResolvedNo
When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?1377 comments3232 forecasters
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?Feb 2046 (Jan 2036 - Jul 2060)273939 comments7777 forecastersFeb 2046 (Jan 2036 - Jul 2060)
Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?result: no441616 comments375375 forecastersResolvedNo
Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?25% chance444848 comments339339 forecasters25%chance