When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?Mar 2048 (May 2040 - Jun 2059)201111 comments9999 forecastersMar 2048 (May 2040 - Jun 2059)
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?Feb 2046 (Jan 2036 - Jul 2060)273939 comments7777 forecastersFeb 2046 (Jan 2036 - Jul 2060)
When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?Jan 2042 (May 2034 - Apr 2055)413030 comments256256 forecastersJan 2042 (May 2034 - Apr 2055)
When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?21 Mar 2024 (08 Sep 2022 - Apr 2028)484646 comments138138 forecasters21 Mar 2024 (08 Sep 2022 - Apr 2028)
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?15% chance755 comments7171 forecasters15%chance
When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?1377 comments3232 forecasters
Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?25% chance444848 comments339339 forecasters25%chance
When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?Jan 2072 (Jan 2052 - >2100)252525 comments156156 forecastersJan 2072 (Jan 2052 - >2100)
Will there be 36 or more private fusion-energy companies in 2022?result: no91919 comments8989 forecastersResolvedNo