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When will global electricity generation from nuclear fusion power plants exceed global electricity generation from nuclear fission power plants?

2083 (May 2062 - 2097)

1
11 comment
5
5 forecasters
2083
(May 2062 - 2097)

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Feb 2048 (Jan 2040 - Jun 2059)

20
1111 comments
99
99 forecasters
Feb 2048
(Jan 2040 - Jun 2059)

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

Jul 2045 (Nov 2035 - Apr 2059)

27
3939 comments
77
77 forecasters
Jul 2045
(Nov 2035 - Apr 2059)

What is the expected (median) date of deuterium-tritium fusion operations for ITER in its new schedule (2024)?

Oct 2039 (Nov 2035 - Aug 2044)

2
1111 comments
3
3 forecasters
ResolvedJun 2039 UTC

When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?

Ambiguous

48
4646 comments
138
138 forecasters
Ambiguous

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

13
77 comments
32
32 forecasters

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

Jan 2073 (Jun 2052 - >2100)

25
2525 comments
156
156 forecasters
Jan 2073
(Jun 2052 - >2100)

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

25% chance

44
4848 comments
340
340 forecasters
25%chance

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Jul 2041 (Mar 2034 - Jul 2053)

41
3030 comments
256
256 forecasters
Jul 2041
(Mar 2034 - Jul 2053)