When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?Apr 2032 (24 Jun 2030 - >Jan 2040)322 comments1717 forecastersApr 2032 (24 Jun 2030 - >Jan 2040)
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?result: no203636 comments184184 forecastersResolvedNo
Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?41616 comments2828 forecasters
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?89999 comments5959 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?result: no167070 comments118118 forecastersResolvedNo
How many total human cases of H5 will CDC report in the United States on October 1, 2024?51818 comments7070 forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026? → If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?1010 comments2121 forecasters
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?Annulled1414 comments3838 forecastersAnnulled
Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?result: no94949 comments7676 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the extent of the H5N1 outbreak in dairy cows on August 1, 2024?32424 comments1818 forecasters
If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?Annulled85252 comments4444 forecastersAnnulled
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?50% chance1322 comments9595 forecasters50%chance