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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?

40% chance

37
4949 comments
235
235 forecasters
40%chance

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

11
1414 comments
24
24 forecasters

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

02 Sep 2030 (26 Sep 2028 - Oct 2034)

16
66 comments
62
62 forecasters
02 Sep 2030
(26 Sep 2028 - Oct 2034)

Is Gilbreath's conjecture true?

75% chance

3
66 comments
5
5 forecasters
75%chance

When will the abc conjecture be settled?

Sep 2046 (Oct 2033 - Aug 2070)

4
11 comment
9
9 forecasters
Sep 2046
(Oct 2033 - Aug 2070)

Is the abc conjecture true?

96% chance

3
1111 comments
17
17 forecasters
96%chance

What will be the best proven upper bound on the infimum of S in 2120?

0.504 (0.502 - 0.511)

1
22 comments
13
13 forecasters
0.504
(0.502 - 0.511)

When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?

Dec 2044 (30 Sep 2030 - Nov 2074)

23
2121 comments
65
65 forecasters
Dec 2044
(30 Sep 2030 - Nov 2074)

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be proved true, if it is proved by 2100?

92% chance

12
77 comments
64
64 forecasters
92%chance

Has Michael Atiyah possibly cracked the Riemann hypothesis?

result: no

11
3838 comments
50
50 forecasters
ResolvedNo

When will the Collatz Conjecture be resolved?

Jan 2050 (12 Feb 2031 - 2132)

14
1616 comments
77
77 forecasters
Jan 2050
(12 Feb 2031 - 2132)

Is the Collatz Conjecture true?

95% chance

21
2828 comments
166
166 forecasters
95%chance

Will another Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?

58% chance

39
33 comments
182
182 forecasters
58%chance

Riemann Hypothesis: Past and Future

22
99 comments

Sums and Products

11
44 comments