Will Missouri's 2026 Amendment 3 pass, repealing the 2024 abortion-rights protections?39% chance0 comments2525 forecasters39%chance
Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?result: no72222 comments1.1k1.1k forecastersResolvedNo
In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?55.3% (48.2 - 63.4)977 comments3232 forecasters55.3% (48.2 - 63.4)
Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?3% chance266767 comments1.8k1.8k forecasters3%chance
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?15 Jun 2027 (08 Sep 2026 - 21 Jun 2028)161313 comments3333 forecasters15 Jun 2027 (08 Sep 2026 - 21 Jun 2028)
Will abortion be legalized in Brazil by the end of 2030?2% chance-10 comments3636 forecasters2%chance
How many seats will be on the Supreme Court of the United States in 2030?9.13 seats (8.91 - 9.55)232323 comments9797 forecasters9.13 seats (8.91 - 9.55)
Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023?result: yes214343 comments263263 forecastersResolvedYes
By 2022, Will at least one abortion ban currently blocked by US federal courts go into effect?result: no112828 comments4242 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the US codify IVF protections at a federal level by 2030?66.7% chance211 comment1414 forecasters66.7%chance
Will Ohio Issue 1 pass in the August 2023 election?result: no31414 comments9999 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Brandy Bottone, the pregnant woman pulled over in Texas for an HOV lane violation, be found guilty in court?result: no111515 comments2626 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Roe v. Wade be formally overturned by July 31, 2028?result: yes48135135 comments412412 forecastersResolvedYes
Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland before 2031?50% chance71616 comments7676 forecasters50%chance
Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?56% chance152828 comments133133 forecasters56%chance