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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?

133 $ (110 - 156)

3
1616 comments
154
154 forecasters
133 $
(110 - 156)

Will SpaceX make any acquisition valued at more than $100B before 2028?

50% chance

0 comments
18
18 forecasters
50%chance

What will be the highest valuations of SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic before 2041?

22 comments
1
1 forecaster

Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire on August 31, 2026?

14.3% chance

1
0 comments
20
20 forecasters
14.3%chance

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

65% chance

14
3535 comments
182
182 forecasters
65%chance

Will the US government file a denaturalization lawsuit against Elon Musk before July 1, 2026?

result: no

5
22 comments
126
126 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Tesla's market capitalization close above SpaceX's market capitalization on SpaceX's first day of public trading?

result: no

8787 comments
89
89 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Elon Musk have triple the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2028?

result: yes

3636 comments
61
61 forecasters
ResolvedYes

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

result: yes

33
106106 comments
389
389 forecasters
ResolvedYes

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

06 Apr 2029 (09 Jan 2028 - 24 Jul 2031)

34
4747 comments
174
174 forecasters
06 Apr 2029
(09 Jan 2028 - 24 Jul 2031)

Who will be the first USD trillionaire?

5
3333 comments
57
57 forecasters

What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al?

8
3333 comments
135
135 forecasters

Will SpaceX publicly file its S-1 IPO prospectus on SEC EDGAR before May 31, 2026?

30% chance

22 comments
86
86 forecasters
Annulled

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

6% chance

180
125125 comments
2.8k
2.8k forecasters
6%chance

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

3
99 comments
40
40 forecasters

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

>125 billion $ (>125 - >125)

13
7575 comments
149
149 forecasters
>125 billion $
(>125 - >125)

Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023?

result: no

14
1515 comments
165
165 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will Tesla discontinue the Cybertruck before January 1, 2027?

19% chance

1
0 comments
26
26 forecasters
19%chance

When will these CEOs no longer be CEO?

7
44 comments
8
8 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2026-01-03 for the Metaculus question "Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?"?

result: no

9292 comments
92
92 forecasters
ResolvedNo

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

1752 B USD (812 - 3467)

21
4545 comments
107
107 forecasters
1752 B USD
(812 - 3467)

Will the community prediction be higher than 94.00% on 2025-12-05 for the Metaculus question "Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?"?

result: yes

9292 comments
91
91 forecasters
ResolvedYes