Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

How many award tranches will Elon Musk earn from Tesla’s 2025 CEO Performance Award by 2036?

Current estimate

10.6 Targets reached

9 comments

17 forecasters

When will Elon Musk cease to be sole CEO of Tesla?

Current estimate

29 Apr 2029

32 comments

71 forecasters

Will Tesla become the world's most valuable publicly-traded company before 2023?

resultNo

10 comments

123 forecasters

Will Tesla's market cap be greater than $1 trillion before July 1, 2023?

resultNo

5 comments

72 forecasters

Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

1%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

100 forecasters

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments

15 forecasters

Will Tesla operate 400,000 driverless robotaxis over any three consecutive months before 2032?

50%chance

29 comments

162 forecasters

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

30%chance

53 comments

483 forecasters

Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?

3%chance

Key Factors

85 comments

124 forecasters

What will Tesla's market capitalization be on 1 January 2021?

community

>150

result

More than 150