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US Democracy Index

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How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q4 2025?

Current estimate

413k vehicles

47 comments

81 forecasters

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?

Current estimate

1.75M vehicles

29 comments

162 forecasters

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

25%chance

5% this week

5 comments

15 forecasters

Will Tesla operate 400,000 driverless robotaxis over any three consecutive months before 2032?

50%chance

2 comments

10 forecasters

How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in each of the following years?

20405.83M

20355.26M

20324.55M

1 comment

6 forecasters

How many award tranches will Elon Musk earn from Tesla’s 2025 CEO Performance Award by 2036?

Current estimate

10.6 Targets reached

2 comments

1 forecaster

Will Tesla Bots be available to US consumers between 2025-12-31 and 2030-12-31?

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments

72 forecasters

Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

1%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments

44 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q3 2025?

community

473k vehicles

result

497.099k vehicles

9 comments

17 forecasters

When will Elon Musk cease to be sole CEO of Tesla?

Current estimate

29 Apr 2029