• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

How many robotics companies will reach a valuation of over $100B before 2032?

8 Companies (4 - 12)

99 comments
13
13 forecasters
8 Companies
(4 - 12)

What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?

84.7% (65.6 - 94.8)

13
2626 comments
82
82 forecasters
84.7%
(65.6 - 94.8)

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?

8.91% (5.71 - 15)

21
4646 comments
127
127 forecasters
8.91%
(5.71 - 15)

Which car brand will have the highest owner satisfaction rating, according to the 2024 Consumer Reports Annual Auto Survey?

2
22 comments
5
5 forecasters

Will Elon Musk (eventually) lose his appeal?

result: no

22
4545 comments
295
295 forecasters
ResolvedNo

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Jan 2032 (28 Jan 2028 - Dec 2037)

18
3939 comments
105
105 forecasters
Jan 2032
(28 Jan 2028 - Dec 2037)

What will Toyota Motor Corporation (TM)'s market capitalisation be on January 1st 2021 in billions of US$?

194 (184 - 205)

4
88 comments
38
38 forecasters
194
(184 - 205)

When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the Japanese passenger car fleet?

19 Jan 2027 (19 Sep 2025 - 08 Jul 2028)

11
44 comments
41
41 forecasters
19 Jan 2027
(19 Sep 2025 - 08 Jul 2028)

Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?

1.8% chance

47
5353 comments
488
488 forecasters
1.8%chance