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13
comments
62
forecasters
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?
62%
chance
45
comments
295
forecasters
Will Elon Musk (eventually) lose his appeal?
result
No
25
comments
79
forecasters
What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?
Current estimate
81.5%
44
comments
124
forecasters
What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?
Current estimate
11.2%
35
comments
101
forecasters
When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?
Current estimate
Aug 2034
2
comments
5
forecasters
Which car brand will have the highest owner satisfaction rating, according to the 2024 Consumer Reports Annual Auto Survey?
Rivian
result:
Yes
Porsche
32.8%
BMW
23.7%
5 others
31%
53
comments
483
forecasters
Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?
3%
chance
8
comments
38
forecasters
What will Toyota Motor Corporation (TM)'s market capitalisation be on January 1st 2021 in billions of US$?
community
194
result
215.72