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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus
6
1
1
comment
2
comments
27
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
3
comments
39
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
3
comments
51
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
32.3%
OpenAI
24.7%
Anthropic
17.1%
3 others
26%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
4
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
6
comments
42
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
0
comments
5
forecasters
Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
0
comments
41
forecasters
Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
0
comments
46
forecasters
Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
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