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9
1
1
comment
4
comments
2
forecasters
How many nations will be net zero emissions on January 1st 2035?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
2
comments
4
forecasters
Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?
Trump files a lawsuit in the USA only
Upcoming
Trump files a lawsuit in the UK only
Upcoming
Trump files a lawsuit in both the USA and the UK
Upcoming
1 other
100%
5
comments
12
forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Hikaru Nakamura
99.9%
Anish Giri
99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa
99.9%
18 others
3
comments
3
forecasters
Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
25%
José Antonio Kast
38%
Evelyn Matthei
15%
5 others
This question is closed for forecasting.
6
comments
34
forecasters
When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?
community
14 Nov 2025 00:27
result
13 Nov 2025 03:15 UTC
0
comments
15
forecasters
Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 12 hours
4
comments
2
forecasters
How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?
Current estimate
1.76%
15
comments
69
forecasters
Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?
result
Yes
Key Factors
limited real test launches
third-party recovery estimates lower
internal booster recovery odds at 75%
6
comments
6
forecasters
Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)
result
Yes
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