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Oct 17 Update: Bot Templates & Tutorials Available for the Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark
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Predictions as Public Works Project โย What Metaculus Is Building Next
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Winners of the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup!
4
3 comments
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๐ Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup ๐
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
50.2%
Kamala Harris
50%
J.D. Vance
0.2%
17 others
288
3k comments
3k
Will the world population grow every year from 2016 to 2025 (inclusive)?
Closed
321
95 comments
95
Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?
Closed
192
58 comments
58
Will a species extinct for > 1000 years be brought back by 2025?
Closed
128
28 comments
28
Playing God Series
A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source
26
312 comments
312
Will Kamala Harris go on Joe Rogan's podcast before the 2024 election?
15%
7
4 comments
4
Will the number of living humans who have walked on another world fall to zero?
Closed
113
41 comments
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