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US Democracy Index

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1 1 comment

0 comments

23 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments

12 forecasters

Will the habeas corpus be suspended for any group of people within the United States in any of the following years?

0 comments

11 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

14 comments

38 forecasters

Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?

12.5%chance

6.5% today

Key Factors

6 comments

3 forecasters

When will a space-based data center first become operational?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 2 days

Key Factors

0 comments

7 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming

IowaUpcoming

MaineUpcoming

0 comments

8 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 2 days

4 comments

3 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jararesult: No

José Antonio Kastresult: Yes

Evelyn Mattheiresult: No

2 comments

11 forecasters

Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?

Trump files a lawsuit in the USA only68%

Trump does not file a lawsuit in the USA or the UK16.8%

Trump files a lawsuit in the UK only9.7%