• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

10
11 comment
12 comments
32 forecasters

Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 7 hours

Key Factors

4 comments
3 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jararesult: No
José Antonio Kastresult: Yes
Evelyn Mattheiresult: No
2 comments
8 forecasters

Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?

Trump files a lawsuit in the USA onlyUpcoming
Trump files a lawsuit in the UK onlyUpcoming
Trump files a lawsuit in both the USA and the UKUpcoming
6 comments
29 forecasters

In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released?

1960s or earlierUpcoming
1970sUpcoming
1980sUpcoming

Key Factors

5 comments
12 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
0 comments
4 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming
IowaUpcoming
MaineUpcoming
2 comments
27 forecasters

Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow

Key Factors

135 comments
312 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

48%chance

Key Factors

0 comments

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days