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11
11 comment
0 comments
27 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach β‰₯4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments
17 forecasters

Will the habeas corpus be suspended for any group of people within the United States in any of the following years?

0 comments
11 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

1 comment
7 forecasters

Labour Party leadership election before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
7 comments
27 forecasters

Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award?

Clair Obscur: Expedition 33Upcoming
Death Stranding 2: On the BeachUpcoming
Donkey Kong BananzaUpcoming

Key Factors

0 comments
5 forecasters

What will the Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot (for the 2026 midterms) on December 2, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
19 comments
48 forecasters

Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?

10%chance

Key Factors

1 comment
14 forecasters

How many chlorination grants will GiveWell recommend after September 20, 2024, and before January 1, 2026?

6 or more28.7%
427.4%
527.4%
0 comments
2 forecasters

Will any AI model achieve a score of 94% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before February 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days