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18 comments
148 forecasters

Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?

resultYes
26 comments
146 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

95%chance
40% this week

We are hiring a Full-Stack Engineer

10
0 comments
2 comments
7 forecasters

Will Russia, India, and China hold a trilateral (three-way) meeting before September 1, 2026?

65%chance
55% this week
4 comments
20 forecasters

When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?

Current estimate
Revealed in 5 hours
8 comments
60 forecasters

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

395%
44.6%
00.1%
6 comments
4 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
2 comments
53 forecasters

Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?

6%chance
2 comments

Will the U.S. Department of Commerce complete a new census before the 2026 midterms?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
condition

Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?

6 forecasters
if yes
if no

What will the open value of the S&P 500 be on November 2, 2025?

6514

What will the open value of the S&P 500 be on November 2, 2025?

6789
2
0 comments
6
6 forecasters
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