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11 comment
0 comments
18 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach β‰₯4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

1 comment
33 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?

99.9%chance
35.9% this week
1 comment
19 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

15 comments
29 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
5 comments
3 forecasters

Will the Giant Panda become extinct before 2100?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
5 comments
34 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
14 Nov 2025 01:01
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
3 comments
50 forecasters

Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
2 comments

How much will developers using AI slowdown/speedup in METR's second impact study?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days