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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

7
11 comment

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

11
44 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
55 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
3 comments
11 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
15 Nov 2025
2 comments
44 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

0.1%chance
35.9% this week
26 comments
143 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?

D66result: Yes
PVV70.8%
Gl/PvdA14.5%
2 comments
41 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025 21:55
29 comments
68 forecasters

Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?

Gen.G57.6%
T126.8%
KT Rolster7.6%
34 comments
115 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

30%chance
60% this week
26 comments
143 forecasters

Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?

resultYes