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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

6
11 comment
2 comments
27 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment
3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%
3 comments
52 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet30.8%
OpenAI24.2%
Anthropic17.6%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
2 comments
43 forecasters

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

95%chance
35% today
6 comments
42 forecasters

What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
0 comments
41 forecasters

Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
9 comments
11 forecasters

What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?

BlueUpcoming
RedUpcoming
GrayUpcoming