Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus
6
1
1
comment
2
comments
27
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
3
comments
39
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
3
comments
52
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
30.8%
OpenAI
24.2%
Anthropic
17.6%
3 others
27%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
2
comments
43
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
95%
chance
35%
today
6
comments
42
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
0
comments
41
forecasters
Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
9
comments
11
forecasters
What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?
Blue
Upcoming
Red
Upcoming
Gray
Upcoming
9 others
100%
Load More