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When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?
2030-07-26
41 forecasters
14
14 comments
14
Verity
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
L5
10 Nov 2029
L4
Oct 20, 2020
L3
Apr 15, 2021
11
122 comments
122
Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?
28%
98 forecasters
11
15 comments
15
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
How many ASAT tests will occur by 2030?
3.12
41 forecasters
7
4 comments
4
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years?
2035
84.7
2030
34.8
2025
18.5
8
4 comments
4
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?
9%
333 forecasters
40
34 comments
34
Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?
10%
83 forecasters
12
8 comments
8
Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?
Resolved :
No
20%
375 forecasters
44
16 comments
16
The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?
Resolved :
No
19%
85 forecasters
15
12 comments
12
Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?
Resolved :
No
32%
114 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
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